Donald Trump leads Joe Biden by 11 points in Iowa.
Former President Donald Trump beats President Joe Biden in Iowa by 11 points in a hypothetical showdown in 2024, according to a poll released by the Des Moines Registry.
According to the poll released Saturday, 51 percent of would-be Iowa voters would support Trump, which is 11 percent higher than 40 percent for Joe Biden. Four percent of voters would not vote for either Trump or Biden, and five percent were undecided.
Selzer & Co. surveyed 810 Iowa adults from November 7-10, 2021. The survey has a margin of error of ± 3.4 percentage points.
Trump’s poll numbers indicate an increase in support since his eight-point victory in Iowa over Biden in the 2020 election. Trump led Iowa with 53 percent compared to Biden’s 45 percent.
According to the Des Moines Registry, “Trump’s lead in 2024 among prospective Iowa voters appears to be driven by support from independents.”
Iowa independents support Trump by an eight percent margin, and Trump gets 45 percent support compared to Biden’s 37 percent.
The poll also found that 61 percent of self-identified Iowa Republicans feel more loyal to the Republican Party than to Trump.
However, Selzer & Co. president Ann Selzer warned that there could be support for Republican rivals in the Iowa caucus. “If all I had in this poll was that Trump would defeat Joe Biden by 11 points, it could say that everything is closed, “he said. “Open the door a little for Iowa.”
Franklin Troy Hommer, an independent respondent, told the Des Moines Registry, “If I could choose between Governor (Ron) DeSantis or Donald Trump, it would be a difficult decision for me. But if you are telling me that my two options are Joe Biden or Donald Trump, I choose Donald Trump.”